Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Intelligence

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

polymarket-559656 · open · polymarket

Display only. Fused prophecy_probability is not a bet offer and does not move funds on Polymarket, Kalshi, or Prophecy points markets.

Forecast integritymoderateforecast_intelligence · papersignals: liquidity

mixed quality / manipulation signals · evidence materials: 1

MEV/manipulation not eliminated — advisory panel only · no betting CTA

Evidence materials · 1

Venue snapshots linked on ingest — informational provenance, not settlement proof.

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?VENUE_SNAPSHOT · polymarket
Source →

Prophecy probability · yes

4.0%

λ market 65% · model 35% · creator 0%

market_aware 4.0% · market_blind 8.7% · cutoff 2026-08-18T08:15:58.435+00:00

Persisted · aware 4.0% · blind 8.7% · snap cutoff 2026-08-18T08:15:58.895+00:00