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앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-10T15:15:15.075Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny kalshi manifold polymarket

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will Generative AI become permanent part of our daily lives before 2030? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democrats win 2028 white house election? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Apple or Google launch native stablecoin functionality in their mobile wallets before 2029? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will we get boosts on Manifold Markets that cost less than 10k by EOY 2026? manifold · open	9.3%	9.3%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the next Claude Fable be able to autonomously make a watchable movie? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	0.7%	0.7%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	0.9%	0.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	1.4%	1.4%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	0.3%	0.3%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	2.8%	2.8%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	0.7%	0.7%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	6.3%	6.3%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	0.1%	0.1%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	1.9%	1.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	5.0%	5.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? polymarket · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Xi Jinping out before 2027? polymarket · open	2.9%	2.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win at least 3.5 more games than Pablo Carreno Busta? kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win at least 6.5 more games than Pablo Carreno Busta? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win at least 1.5 more games than Felix Auger-Aliassime? kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Over 17.5 games kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Over 22.5 games kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Over 27.5 games kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will 99DIVINE win the Please Not Hero Ban vs. 99DIVINE Overwatch match? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Please Not Hero Ban win the Please Not Hero Ban vs. 99DIVINE Overwatch match? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 2.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina? kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 5.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina? kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Daniil Medvedev win at least 8.5 more games than Dalibor Svrcina? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Over 14.5 games kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Over 19.5 games kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Over 24.5 games kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will over 7.5 goals be scored? kalshi · open	0.0%	0.0%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will Labour UK party win reelection in 2029? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the world have more far-right leaders in government in 2030s? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
How will I rate Vilenkin 1998? (+free lottery) manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Kai Cenat have 25 million Twitch followers by the end of the year? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Bitcoin reach A$200,000 before 1 January 2028? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in