본문으로 건너뛰기
Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms
·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다

Intelligence

KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026A5602E59468-D157BD619B4: yes Arsenal

kalshi-kxmvecrosscategory-shard1-s2026a5602e59468-d157bd619b4 · open · kalshi

Display only. Fused prophecy_probability is not a bet offer and does not move funds on Polymarket, Kalshi, or Prophecy points markets.

Forecast integritymoderateforecast_intelligence · papersignals: liquidity

mixed quality / manipulation signals · evidence materials: 1

MEV/manipulation not eliminated — advisory panel only · no betting CTA

Evidence materials · 1

Venue snapshots linked on ingest — informational provenance, not settlement proof.

  • KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026A5602E59468-D157BD619B4: yes ArsenalVENUE_SNAPSHOT · kalshi
    Source →

Prophecy probability · yes

50%

λ market 65% · model 35% · creator 0%

market_aware 50% · market_blind 50% · cutoff 2026-08-18T03:16:32.009+00:00

Persisted · aware 50% · blind 50% · snap cutoff 2026-08-18T03:16:32.446+00:00

Market mid
50%
Model
50%
Creator

Linked venues

  • kalshiKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026A5602E59468-D157BD619B4(auto)
    Open →

Latest observations

  • model · 50% · 2026-08-18T03:16:32.009+00:00 · simple_prior_v1
  • venue_mid · 50% · 2026-08-18T03:16:24.687+00:00 · ingest_v1

Open probabilities JSON