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Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms
앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다

Intelligence

Will OpenAI release a new line of models by the end of the year?

manifold-pcezzz0ca6 · open · manifold

Display only. Fused prophecy_probability is not a bet offer and does not move funds on Polymarket, Kalshi, or Prophecy points markets.

Forecast integritylowforecast_intelligence · papersignals: stub

no elevated integrity stress in stub inputs

MEV/manipulation not eliminated — advisory panel only · no betting CTA · missing inputs = UNKNOWN

Prophecy fair estimate · yes

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Fair band —

Band = venue + dual span (not a calibrated CI). Quality unknown. · venues eligible 0/0

λ market 0% · model 0% · creator 0%

market_aware — · market_blind — · cutoff 2026-10-11T19:59:02.434Z

Persisted snapshots: none yet (written on ingest).

Market consensus
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Independent model
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Human / creator
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Point-in-time · asOf

Re-fuse probabilities at a cutoff (UTC). Malformed asOf returns 400 — no latest leak.

Frozen revisions

Immutable export snapshots (revision + content hash).

Loading freeze history…

Linked venues

No venue markets linked yet.

Latest observations

No observations yet. Venue mid reads appear after ingest — browse External (display only, not a bet).

Open probabilities JSON