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Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms
·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다

Intelligence

KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026E77625C2E2F-8EAE3EB58B0: yes Lloyd Harris

kalshi-kxmvecrosscategory-shard1-s2026e77625c2e2f-8eae3eb58b0 · open · kalshi

Display only. Fused prophecy_probability is not a bet offer and does not move funds on Polymarket, Kalshi, or Prophecy points markets.

Forecast integritymoderateforecast_intelligence · papersignals: liquidity

mixed quality / manipulation signals · evidence materials: 1

MEV/manipulation not eliminated — advisory panel only · no betting CTA

Evidence materials · 1

Venue snapshots linked on ingest — informational provenance, not settlement proof.

  • KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026E77625C2E2F-8EAE3EB58B0: yes Lloyd HarrisVENUE_SNAPSHOT · kalshi
    Source →

Prophecy probability · yes

50%

λ market 65% · model 35% · creator 0%

market_aware 50% · market_blind 50% · cutoff 2026-08-18T04:16:38.22+00:00

Persisted · aware 50% · blind · snap cutoff 2026-08-18T04:16:38.664+00:00

Market mid
50%
Model
50%
Creator

Linked venues

  • kalshiKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026E77625C2E2F-8EAE3EB58B0(auto)
    Open →

Latest observations

  • model · 50% · 2026-08-18T04:16:38.22+00:00 · simple_prior_v1
  • venue_mid · 50% · 2026-08-18T04:16:27.29+00:00 · ingest_v1

Open probabilities JSON