Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

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Intelligence

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

polymarket-559652 · open · polymarket

Display only. Fused prophecy_probability is not a bet offer and does not move funds on Polymarket, Kalshi, or Prophecy points markets.

Forecast integritymoderateforecast_intelligence · papersignals: liquidity

mixed quality / manipulation signals · evidence materials: 1

MEV/manipulation not eliminated — advisory panel only · no betting CTA

Evidence materials · 1

Venue snapshots linked on ingest — informational provenance, not settlement proof.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?VENUE_SNAPSHOT · polymarket
Source →

Prophecy probability · yes

18%

λ market 65% · model 35% · creator 0%

market_aware 18% · market_blind 21% · cutoff 2026-08-18T08:15:46.723+00:00

Persisted · aware 18% · blind 21% · snap cutoff 2026-08-18T08:15:47.183+00:00