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Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms
·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다

Intelligence

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

polymarket-559663 · open · polymarket

Display only. Fused prophecy_probability is not a bet offer and does not move funds on Polymarket, Kalshi, or Prophecy points markets.

Forecast integritymoderateforecast_intelligence · papersignals: liquidity

mixed quality / manipulation signals · evidence materials: 1

MEV/manipulation not eliminated — advisory panel only · no betting CTA

Evidence materials · 1

Venue snapshots linked on ingest — informational provenance, not settlement proof.

  • Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?VENUE_SNAPSHOT · polymarket
    Source →

Prophecy probability · yes

3.7%

λ market 65% · model 35% · creator 0%

market_aware 3.7% · market_blind 8.5% · cutoff 2026-08-18T08:16:16.712+00:00

Persisted · aware 3.7% · blind 8.5% · snap cutoff 2026-08-18T08:16:17.168+00:00

Market mid
1.1%
Model
8.5%
Creator

Linked venues

Latest observations

  • model · 8.5% · 2026-08-18T08:16:16.712+00:00 · simple_prior_v1
  • venue_mid · 1.1% · 2026-08-18T08:15:40.163+00:00 · ingest_v1

Open probabilities JSON