Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T11:15:14.954Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will major Yandex.Market fulfillment center or logistics facility get destroyed by drone attack before September 1, 2026 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Rob Miles say the word "Fable" in a Rational Animations video published in August 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Club Friendly Result: Rangers v. West Ham manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which new players will Klopp nominate for the German team in 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Likud seats after October 2026 Israeli elections manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What day will I next log on to manifold markets in 2026*? See description. manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will an independent source confirm Grok 4's SWE-bench performance within 10 points of xAI's claimed 72-75% by 9.15, 2020 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
WILL ALEXEY GUZEY EVER VISIT THE FARALLON ISLANDS manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will Qwen 3.8 weights become publicly available? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Jose Luis Ricon get a MOUNTAIN PEAK named after him by EOY2222? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
1h of train commute from Utrecht means more than ~2 times the average for people commuting in the Netherlands manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

Showing page after cursor 2026-07-24T13:16:00.981+00:00 · First page