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Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T09:15:14.543Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Bitcoin price above $63,700 on Thursday, July 30 at market close (UTC)? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will The Unspace Social Media app flop? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Nagad88 Bangladesh - Premium Online Betting & Gaming Platform manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Quroe becomes a Moderator? \| USMV ≥ Ṁ1000 per share? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend? manifold · open	32%	32%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the 2026 Montana senate election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
If Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win? manifold · open	89%	89%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will Seth Bodnar caucus with one year after election, if he is elected as Montana senator in 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the Democratic Senate Primary in Massachusetts? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth? manifold · open	16%	16%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Minecraft RSG no-reset average time by AI below 25 min before EOY 2028? manifold · open	24%	24%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the news identify a 2002 SARS level outbreak event as having been caused by an open weight AI model by EOY 2028? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will OpenAI release a technical report on the Hugging Face hack? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
AI vs Humanity: First to Sub 2h All Achievements Minecraft speedrun? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Hasan play any video game on stream in 2027? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Lego operate three factories in the Americas at the end of 2029? manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Wero reach 10 countries before 2028? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Free Lottery (past attractor) manifold · open	80%	80%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Corgi go bankrupt? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which teams will qualify for the 2030 FIFA World Cup? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will U answer this question manifold · open	76%	76%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
USD/RUB by end of 2026 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
US vs. IRAN free mana: What Will Happen Before the End Of 2026? [ADD OPTIONS] manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What will the Economist Democracy Index of Nigeria in 2026 be? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
does 1 + 1 = 2 manifold · open	66%	66%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
SpaceX vs Tesla - Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Tesla on Dec. 31, 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Leader of the GC after stage 9 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will SpaceX execute a ship catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What percent of ESPR participants chose red? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
MLS All-Star Game Result manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any given day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27) manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
jeetwin - বাংলাদেশের অন্যতম জনপ্রিয় অনলাইন বেটিং ও ক্যাসিনো সাইট manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
CoreWeave stock price reaches 50USD before EOY manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
If the Prime Minister is a member of the party endorsed by the Economist in the next UK general election, who? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Geert Wilders remain the sole registered member of the PVV (Partij voor de Vrijheid) until EOY 2035? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Free lottery! manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
In Which Month Will Another Div.4 Happen In Codeforces manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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