Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T01:15:14.621Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Who will be the most streamed artist on Spotify this week? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Was Paul Biya alive July 30, noon UTC (see description)? manifold · open	38%	38%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Winner of the 2026 Patriot League football championship manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will IXIC higher than (?) at the end of August? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will there be 3 or more total goals scored in regular time in the 2026 FA Community Shield? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027? manifold · open	71%	71%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
NFL: Will home teams win 50% or more of the Week 1 games in the 2026 NFL regular season? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 54% of House seats on any day by July 31, 2027? (7/31/27) manifold · open	72%	72%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Are you feeling the Binmentum? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I finish reading the Iliad by the 3rd of August? manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will any newly elected representatives be denied a seat in congress? manifold · open	24%	24%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children? manifold · open	79%	79%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What prediction market will have the most accurate prediction for the Senate midterm election of 2026? (Read Rules) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Trump vs Hillary Clinton 🥊 {SUPREME COURT RECTANGLE} manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? manifold · open	75%	75%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will ballistic missile with range over 500km launched from Ukraine hit any target in Russia in 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
11kk Bangladesh \| Best Online Betting & Live Casino Platform manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will be the next Speaker of Russian Parliament (State Duma) after the next election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026 manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the Liberal-National Coalition lead One Nation in the polls at the end of August 2026? manifold · open	38%	38%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will a new US-Iran ceasefire take effect before October 1, 2026? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses over $2B? manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Did gold will hit 4150 today 31 july manifold · open	94%	94%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which Dan will show up at Mic’s 40th? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Is Mitch McConnell on life support and/or brain dead? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the 2026 College Football Sun Belt Conference Championship Game? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What will be true of the 1Y return of a small cap ETF (VB) vs. an SP500 ETF (VOO) on August 1st, 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which new managers will survive the 26/27 Premier League season? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which Party will win the 2026 Idaho Senate Election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will yao ye beat me in codeforces rating (part 2) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will I have an ice cold beer today? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028 manifold · open	16%	16%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I contact my ex, and how will it go? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of August 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the House seat for Ohio's 7th congressional district (OH-7) in the 2026 midterms? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
MLB: Will the Tampa Bay Rays sweep the Chicago White Sox OR will the 3-game series total 27 or more runs? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I make MOP 2027? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

Showing page after cursor 2026-07-31T16:16:45.551+00:00 · First page