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앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T23:19:10.289Z · ok=true · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
How many malaria deaths will be estimated for 2025 in the IHME Global Burden of Disease? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will my transfer of major get accepted? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Days I'll create a market in August? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will remain in Masters after Season 40? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Free Lottery (singularity strength) manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What is Max Miller announcing live on X at 10am August 2 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will any player from France or playing as a French civilization surrender/resign early in AOE2 regicide Rumble 7? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I find a new NRSVue Bible with the Apocrypha for under $10 by the end of the year? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will my new phone crash from gaming too hard? manifold · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
In which month(s) will there be at least 3 consecutive days with sirens in Israel caused by Iranian missiles? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 54.3% of House seats on any day by August 2, 2027? (8/2/27) manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Do you like 74% odds? manifold · open	74%	74%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
How will I do during August in Manifold? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Continuing to travel: Where will I end up in one year? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will any space agency intentionally deflect an asteroid that would otherwise have impacted Earth by August 1, 2034? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will NASA livestream of the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse exceed 2 million concurrent viewers? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Trump be impeached again during his second term? manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)? manifold · open	63%	63%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will The Odyssey (2026) be Christopher Nolan's highest grossing film at the domestic box office? manifold · open	90%	90%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
▶️Which Youtube channels will release at least one video in September 2026? [ADD RESPONSES] manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Vinicius Junior sign for Arsenal? manifold · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	—	Sign in
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term? manifold · open	65%	65%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What will happen first? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
will beswin turn gay before gta 6 manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
August 2026 AI model releases manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will GPT-6 be called "Astra"? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
how many hours will i study in august? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Situational Awareness be bigger than Citadel by EOY 2029? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
In which countries will the Against Malaria Foundation fund distributions in 2028? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
7j777 Bangladesh \| Online Gaming Platform manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win Masters Season 40? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Abdul El Sayed win the primary and general for senate in Michigan? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will any of OpenAI’s “Ten Advances in Math and Theoretical CS” be proven flawed by the end of August? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Bitcoin price August 2026 - beat the statistics manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Silver futures price August 2026 - beat the statistics manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Gold futures price August 2026 - beat the statistics manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will anyone from fr8 become thiel fellow by 2029 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will 10 or more countries have elected artificial candidates to political offices by 2036? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
MedHub USA \| Trusted Online Pharmacy in the USA manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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