Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T22:15:14.676Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
GTA VI released on Switch 2 by EOY 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Best Magento Development Company manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which Programming Language Has The Best Logo manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Mitch McConnell outlive Neal Dunn? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Where will Mathcamp 2027 be held? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which team will win the 2026 FA Community Shield? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
How much will I ultimately pay for my $21,000 out-of-network hospital bill? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Miss Tutti and the Fruity band be nominated for an Emmy by the end of 2030? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will there be a major new AI regulation bill signed in the U.S. before September 30, 2026? manifold · open	19%	19%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will China impose new trade restrictions on Taiwan before October 31, 2026? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will silver metal close above $60 at the end of August manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Paraná (PR)? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will a US senator die before October 1st? manifold · open	13%	13%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I bother calling the suicide hotline this time? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What disciplinary action will I face for my last market? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
does 2 + 2 = 4 manifold · open	95%	95%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before 2027? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the Strait of Hormuz be blockaded during the year that peak oil is reached? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will more than 5 bots trade on this market? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will there be a salary cap/floor in the MLB before 2030? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Anthropic stop deprecating models and make old ones available for access by the end of the year? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What things will I achieve in the upcoming school year? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.2% of House seats on any day by August 8, 2027? (8/8/27) manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Is OpenAI's upcoming "Astra" model going to be called GPT-6? manifold · open	63%	63%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will there be new US-Iran peace talks before August 31? manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
[PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will another solo Bitcoin miner hit a 1000X or more return this way by January 28, 2028? (2/28/28) manifold · open	35%	35%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
A default proposition with 100 Mana: 17 players × 6 = 102. Should Manifold Markets raise the reward for 1000 mana start? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What will happen in tomorrow's Fire Emblem Nintendo Direct? [Short Fuse] [Add Answers!] manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What topics/concepts will appear in the LeetCode Weekly Contest 514 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Romania have a new Government by the end of September? manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will NYC have a city owned grocery store operating in Brooklyn at the end of 2029? manifold · open	— NO_SIGNAL	—	—	—	1	—	Sign in
MLB: Will the New York Yankees sweep the Atlanta Braves OR will the 3-game series total 27 or more runs? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	—	Sign in
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" passes "Avatar: The Way of Water"? (>2.3B worldwide) manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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