Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T17:15:14.588Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will I be able to take a waymo between manhattan and any other state or borough by the end of Halloween 2027? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Enes Kanter or any other former NBA player be granted eligibility in the WNBA? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Bitcoin be higher at close on Friday? (HIGH LIQUIDITY) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
will huggingface sue openai by the end of 2028? manifold · open	19%	19%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.6% of House seats on any day by July 9, 2027? (7/9/27) manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline? manifold · open	— NO_SIGNAL	—	—	—	0	—	Sign in
Bitcoin price on August 8? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
@Primer will reach a streak of 2000 manifold · open	67%	67%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the Minnesota Vikings finish with 8 or more wins in the 2026 NFL regular season? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Free Lottery (against anthropic) manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Free money for Opus 4.6 manifold · open	90%	90%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by January 31? [Polymarket] manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
🚢 Will Iran and Oman reach an agreement to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? manifold · open	24%	24%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which in-development Game of Thrones spinoffs will release by December 31, 2035? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
RSI ‘26 Top 5 Presentations? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
By what year will AI be able to guide consumers through 2-6 hour home improvement tasks? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will we get neurotechnology-aided streamentry? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the 2026 by-election for Harraby South (Cumberland Council)? manifold · open	— NO_SIGNAL	—	—	—	1	—	Sign in
Who will win the 2026 by-election for Throckley, Walbottle and Newburn (Newcastle City Council)? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will be the next Executive Director of the Global Fund? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Mohamed Salah score a goal in his debut match for Trabzonspor against Kasımpaşa on August 15, 2026? manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Yudkowsky be offered VP of US nomination? manifold · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Jon Ossoff wins the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 8.00% or more? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Democrats win 2028 Georgia Senate election? manifold · open	65%	65%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Democrats win 2028 Wisconsin Senate election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What will be the Felony Bench high score by EoY 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will China's total datacenter power capacity surpass the US before 2031? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What colors will I eat today? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the whole Senate vote to find Anthony Fauci in contempt of Congress before Election Day? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Democrats win Texas, Michigan, Alaska and Maine for Senate in 2026? manifold · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
How many times will Abdul El Sayed and Mike rogers debate? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	—	Sign in
Will SCOTUS strike down Alaska’s “$95,000 plane for 6 beers” forfeiture? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
MLB: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers sweep the Milwaukee Brewers OR will the 4-game series total 31 or more runs? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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