Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T17:15:14.588Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will there be a leak of military secrets or sensitive information on the War Thunder game forums in 2027? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
who will win Montreal tennis open? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will a human land on the moon Io? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Destiny's Polymarket account show positive returns over one year as of August 8th, 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will there be a codex limit reset on Monday August 10, 2026? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will national emergency lead to universal surveillance of American citizens by EOY2028? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
If Hasanabi ever gets divorced will he make a statement partially blaming Israel/Zionists? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Hasanabi run for Congress by the end of 2034? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
How many performances will The Mousetrap reach before the West End production closes? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which AP Subject Test for May 2027 will have the most students get the lowest score on it? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the Kansas City Chiefs enter their Week 5 bye with a 2-2 record? manifold · open	35%	35%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
$CASHCAT reach $0.15 or more by August 8 manifold · open	1.0%	1.0%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What colors will I eat today? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
If Lada Nuzhna 1v1'd Claire Wang in Offworld Trading Company, would she win? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Democrats win the 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial election? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will an "AGI insider" class accept the political disempowerment of everyone else? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Hasanabi move to NYC by the end of 2028? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
"we're less than six months from a state change of some kind" - Joshua Achiam manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will I beat Yao Ye in codeforces rating manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the sun rise tomorrow? (apocalypse hedging) manifold · open	99%	99%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which MLB team will win the NL Central in 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Messi arrive argentina today? manifold · open	99%	99%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
JOSE LUIS RICON AND KATY PERRY TOO! manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Alexey Guzey and TAYLOR SWIFT too! manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will 2027 be Boston's warmest year ever? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will 2028 be Boston's warmest year ever? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
MLB: Will the Atlanta Braves sweep the New York Mets OR will the 3-game series total 26 or more runs? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Aughinish announce production curtailment or major layoffs by end-2026? manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will an income be imputed to my co-parent before end of 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Demis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Jose Luis Ricon, Taylor Swift, and Katy Perry all STAR in a 3+ minute music video by EOY2035? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards? manifold · open	38%	38%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will an AI company be valued at $1 trillion+ before January 1, 2027? manifold · open	92%	92%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Andrew Tate be sentenced to several years in a British prison? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which of these northern European cities will I most enjoy? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
[READ DESCRIPTION] How many crypto perps like the BTC perp will there be? Hopefully many. manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What will be the gold's status on Aug month closing? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
NCAA Football: Will Florida State beat SMU? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the wsp.kbtu.kz site go down during schedule registration on August 17? manifold · open	72%	72%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the Michigan Senate Race 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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