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앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T15:15:14.555Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will Grey DeLisle die before 2060? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will my comment on Metaculus Fall Cup win any prizes. manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
OpenAI flips Apple before 2030? manifold · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Free Lottery (tunneling) manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Bayern Munich defeat Bodø/Glimt? manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will PSV Eindhoven defeat Shakhtar Donetsk? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Sabah FC beat Manchester United? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I be in California again before the end of 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What books will I enjoy reading? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Elon Musk reach 243 M+ followers on X before 20th August? manifold · open	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Bitcoin be higher 2 days from now? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Outcome of Australia vs Bangladesh Test series (Aug 2026) manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Next leader of the NZ National Party manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
A National Mp publicly says Chris Luxon should go before end of Friday? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Outcome of the Bank of England MPC rate decision on Thursday 17th September 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Bitcoin price on August 10? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which party will win the National electorate at the 2026 nz election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the women’s 800m at the 2026 European Athletics Championships? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
NFL: Will at least one NFL regular-season game end in a tie during the 2026 season? manifold · open	66%	66%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.8% of House seats on any day by September 2, 2027? (9/2/27) manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
who will win the FEINFA WC manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will this market attract at least 5 unique traders before it closes? manifold · open	72%	72%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will three suns rise tomorrow? (Apocalypse hedging) manifold · open	2.0%	2.0%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Are you a human being? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the Ivory Billed Woodpecker be rediscovered by the end of 2030? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
How many of Max Miller, Cory Mills, and Ken Paxton will be elected to Congress in the 2026 elections? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I do a 100-mile bike ride by the end of the year? manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the San Francisco 49ers finish the 2026 NFL regular season with a win record equivalent to 10.5 wins or better? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Anthropic valuation on MNX (October 1st) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Michael Vassar and RFK Jr talk by EOY2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Moonshot AI valuation on MNX (October 1st) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
DeepSeek valuation on MNX (October 1st) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
OpenAI valuation on MNX (October 1st) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
If the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed, will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 Midterms? manifold · open	65%	65%	—	—	1	—	Sign in
High score on FelonyBench by end of August 2026 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
High score on FelonyBench by end of 2026 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Who will win the 2026 Cairns Cup chess tournament? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will North Korea win the next Women’s World Cup? manifold · open	42%	42%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will somebody get legally married at the SF Pursuit finale? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I win Masters Season 40? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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