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앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T12:15:14.905Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will Black Sea Grain Initiative be reactivated by EOY 2026? manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Rerun of Swedish General Election because no government formed? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any team have 5 out of 25 riders at the front of the 2026 UCI World Championship Road Race (Men Elite) manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Bitcoin be higher than $66,666 at the end of 2026? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Nvidia closes at $210.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
SpaceX closes at $150.00 or higher on Friday 18 September 2026? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 28, 2026? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Lucy Martinez travel to Thailand before October 31, 2026? manifold · open	99%	99%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will total trading volume on this market exceed M25 before it closes? manifold · open	96%	96%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office every single day from Sept 14–30? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or better the US Gas Price average on election day? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will anyone correctly guess the total number of traders on this market? (50 mana bonus) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
2028 Democratic Nominee is Newsom, Ossoff or AOC? manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any pokemon have 4 stages of evolution by the end of 2029? manifold · open	24%	24%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on October 1 2026? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Tottenham Hotspur score a goal in their next Premier League fixture? manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Trump have a national address this week and call certain aspects of the AI race an imminent threat to humanity? manifold · open	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I have 200 followers by the end of the year? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Dalllas Cowboys finish the regular season with a winning record? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Ken Paxton get 40% or more of the Asian vote in the 2026 senate election, according to the CNN exit poll? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I believe any 2026 US House or Senate election subverted the will of the voters? manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the U.S. formally eliminate the tariff on Irish whiskey by October 31, 2026? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
In 2028, will a public AI be able to play almost all computer games at human level with zero-shot computer use? manifold · open	44%	44%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Chelsea beat Brentford? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Baltimore Ravens end the season with a winning record? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Washington Commanders end the season with a winning record? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Miami Dolphins end the season with a winning record? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the NFL officially announce the 2027 Super Bowl halftime show headliner before the end of September 2026? manifold · open	82%	82%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the FTC, SEC, or EPA carve out a special exemption for a specific company? manifold · open	44%	44%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Roy Cooper win by 4 points or more? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Eliezer approve of Yuddish? manifold · open	54%	54%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any game during Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season end in a scorigami? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Loïk Le Priol be convicted of premeditated murder in the Federico Martín Aramburú case? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the LUX-ZEPLIN experiment find WIMPs before 2028? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.400 or more on September 21 2026? manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will trump make another absurd promise? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will NVDA open down 5% or more on Monday, Sept 14, 2026?" manifold · open	9.0%	9.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will @bens pull through? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a Scorigami in the first three weeks of the NFL Season? manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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