Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T12:15:14.905Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will rain today in New York manifold · open	24%	24%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will India win next T20 world cup manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Is Mike Rogers a COWARD? (Michigan senate) manifold · open	82%	82%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
How will I rate Vilenkin 1986? (+free lottery) manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Brazil 2026 Election: Will the U.S. impose new Global Magnitsky sanctions on a Brazilian before the elections? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Jon Ossoff get 72% of the vote or more in Henry County? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will AGI be a whole number? manifold · open	65%	65%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will at least 200 Tesla Cybercabs be registered for public robotaxi service by December 31, 2026? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win an outright majority (126+ of 250 seats) in Serbia's 25 October 2026 election? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I solve tomorrow’s integral in 10 minutes? (Day 10) manifold · open	85%	85%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the California legislature override any gubernatorial veto by the end of 2027 manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will The Odyssey gross more than Spider-Man: Brand New Day at the domestic box office this weekend (Sept 18–20)? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Andy McDonald (MP Middlesbrough & Thornaby East) say anything about AI x-risk on Twitter between 15 Sep and 15 Oct? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Ireland rejoins the United Kingdom before 2065? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will 10 people claim my 50 mana bonus? manifold · open	26%	26%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Aston Villa win or tie vs. Tottenham Hotspur? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Chase Freedom Flex's 5x categories for Q4 2026 include Groceries AND Dining? manifold · open	87%	87%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Kirishima lose to anyone other than Aonishiki in the September 2026 Grand Sumo Tournament (aki basho) manifold · open	77%	77%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I be accepted into MIT? manifold · open	11%	11%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I lock in for A-level maths?? manifold · open	83%	83%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom both run for president in 2028? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a third warld war erupt before 2050 manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a full ship-to-ship cryogenic propellant transfer in orbit be achieved by end of 2026? manifold · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Holder Battle: YES vs NO manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Penn State Makes it to College Football Playoffs? manifold · open	42%	42%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be an armed conflict between Russia and the European Economic Area before 1 January 2028? manifold · open	26%	26%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will DFL candidate Peggy Flanagan win Blue Earth County in the 2026 MN-SEN election? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to stop mutual attacks on energy targets for at least a week by EOY 2026? manifold · open	9.1%	9.1%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will electrostatic propulsion become a reality manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? manifold · open	62%	62%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Opus 5.2 released in September? manifold · open	10%	10%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? manifold · open	26%	26%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I finish my stuff on time? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
How will I rate Vilenkin 1985? (+free lottery) manifold · open	71%	71%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Outcome of India vs Afghanistan T20 series (Sep 2026) manifold · open	7.8%	7.8%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I go swimming at least 10 times by EOY 2026? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I finish Top 2 in every 2026 Masters League? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
In the 2026 Alaska Senate election, will any of these outlets call the winner within 24 hours of polls closing? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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