Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T09:15:15.175Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will trump say or write "effective altruism"? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Australia loosen copyright laws to allow AI model training by EOY 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democratic candidate Josh Turek win Dubuque County in the IA-SEN election? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I beat phjork before the end of this month(current hardest shiver) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average DIESEL Price Is $7 or more on any day in 2026? manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average DIESEL Price Is $8 or more on any day in 2026? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democrats win the Senate in the 2028 Senate elections? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on September 21 2026? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.5000 or more on September 21 2026? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the federal gas tax be suspended before 2027? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Is Union Alpha a router? manifold · open	81%	81%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Democratic Supermajority in the US Senate this decade? manifold · open	6.9%	6.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp Stock closes at $8.50 or higher on Thursday 17 Sep 2026? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will bluelinfish finish his county song by EOY? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Alex Wissner-Gross will be named to the Forbes Midas List in 2030 or earlier manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Was Russian nuclear submarine K-186 Omsk seriously damaged or destroyed on or about August 26, 2026? manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Bitcoin price reaches 78k USD at any point before the end of September manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will peak plastic production occur within a year of peak oil? manifold · open	33%	33%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will GPT-6 Terra out-benchmark Sonnet 5? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will 1789 Capital acquire Polymarket by EOY 2027? manifold · open	10%	10%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the first female US president also be a mother? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Franco Colapinto race for Red Bull, Ferrari, McLaren, or Mercedes in the 2028 F1 season? manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will GPT-6 Sol out-benchmark Opus 5? manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Ticketmaster shut down before 2030? manifold · open	10%	10%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Jesus Christ will not return before iPhone 19 manifold · open	84%	84%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Does Saturns moon Mimas, have a cyclic subsurface ocean? manifold · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Labour win the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election? manifold · open	71%	71%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
9月16号总统Trump会死吗 manifold · open	2.9%	2.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the unreleased new Ninebot M5 MK2 come with native (factory) Apple CarPlay manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
trump 17号会辞职吗 manifold · open	1.2%	1.2%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
GameStop Stock closes at $22.00 or higher on Friday 18 Sep 2026? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
S&P500 closes at $7600.00 or higher on Wednesday 16 sep 2026? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.4500 or more on September 21 2026? manifold · open	54%	54%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will anyone be impeached by the US House of Representatives in 2027? manifold · open	64%	64%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I stretch 10 minutes a day on at least 10 days by November 1, 2026? (11/1/26) manifold · open	66%	66%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Outcome of Zimbabwe vs Australia ODI series (Sep 2026) manifold · open	16%	16%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Outcome of Sri Lanka vs England T20 series (Sep 2026) manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will AI chatbots become permanent part of daily life permanently like smartphones and the internet before 2100? manifold · open	80%	80%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

Showing page after cursor 2026-09-17T11:16:40.258+00:00 · First page