Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T08:20:35.218Z · ok=true · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
EPL: Will Newcastle beat Hull by 2 or more goals? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
How will I rate del Campo & Vilenkin 1989? (+free lottery) manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Nottingham beat Coventry? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Liverpool beat Bournemouth? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 18, 2026? (corrected close time) manifold · open	73%	73%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Everton beat Ipswich Town? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Arsenal beat Brighton? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
PMF or Die (AI Forecasting Edition) manifold · open	17%	17%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will USA break its continuous human presence in outer space before 2040? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a second Jev-style decision output model on OpenRouter by end October? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump appear together in the same new photo or video on X before October 1, 2026? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Does Netanyahu lead the next government after the Israeli General Election? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the recorded US measles cases reach or exceed 3,500 cases in today's update? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Manchester United beat Fulham? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I finish the book unplugged by Gordon Korman in the next 2 weeks? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If the Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election, will the PM at the end of 2027 be Labour? manifold · open	64%	64%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Metroid Ravenous win Game of the Year at the Game Awards? manifold · open	8.9%	8.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026? manifold · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Republicans win Wisconsin 7th Congressional District in 2026? manifold · open	90%	90%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Manifold allows you to set starting percentage for sets and multi choice by end of month? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $102 on September 24, 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will every Millennium Prize problem be solved before 2028 manifold · open	12%	12%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a visible “chemtrail” be captured by a UW–Madison rooftop camera between 9 AM and 1 PM CT on September 24th, 2026? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.5500 or more on October 1 2026? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Fed rate hike in 2027? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Daniel Lord livestream between September 20 and September 27 of 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
🇺🇸🇨🇳 Will the U.S. and China announce reciprocal tariff cuts by September 24? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
How will I rate Vilenkin 1988b? (+free lottery) manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will DJ Cara Return In GTA VI manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will North Dakota State University play in the College Football Playoff this Season? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
S&P 500 closes at 9000 before 2028? manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Real Betis defeat Getafe ? manifold · open	74%	74%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Joe Fortune be the next General Secretary of the UK Labour Party? manifold · open	90%	90%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 2: Will the Philadelphia Eagles beat the Tennessee Titans by 7 or more points? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026? manifold · open	72%	72%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will people use the internet in 2030? manifold · open	94%	94%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Dario amodei be banned from entering China by eoy2028 manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
In early 2029, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I remember to check this poll in 1 week? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I get a job at Tesla? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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