Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T06:18:28.347Z · ok=true · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Can the son do more push-ups than the father? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I be permabanned due to complications related to Nash Pit shenanigans? manifold · open	2.4%	2.4%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
BTC Up or Down 1d manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished during Trump's presidency? manifold · open	32%	32%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any NFL game go to overtime this week? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Romania's S&P credit rating remain at "investment grade" level? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will prediction markets be legally classified as gambling in the U.S. by EOY 2030? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a second Jev-style decision output model on OpenRouter by end 2026? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a Jev-style decision output model not made by typesafe on OpenRouter by end 2026? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Strait or canal subject to UNCLOS transit passage rights closed by end 2030? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will İmisli FK defeat Sabah FK ? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Sevilla - Barcelona. Over 3.5 goals ? manifold · open	42%	42%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Leeds United beat Crystal Palace? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Manchester City beat Sunderland by 2 or more goals? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
China has nuclear-powered carrier in service by end 2040? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 16, 2026? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any FBS College Football team score 90 or more points in a single game during the 2026 season? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 9, 2026? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will democrats win back the house in 2026 midterms? manifold · open	90%	90%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, September 25, 2026? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 2, 2026? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any Trump's opponents go to prison before 2029? manifold · open	38%	38%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the 2026 midterm election be stolen by Trump and GOP? manifold · open	12%	12%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Anthony Fauci go to prison before 2029? manifold · open	13%	13%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Actblue be shut down before 2029? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Random resolver manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown win Mahoning County in the OH-SEN election? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Rahm Emanuel and Hasan Piker have a public debate or conversation this year? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will my roommate talk while sleeping in the next month? manifold · open	74%	74%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I get a >=1550 SAT in the October SAT? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will my friend get back with his ex despite saying he wouldn’t? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I resolve this market less than an hour late? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? manifold · open	78%	78%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Was HPIM alignment-trained? manifold · open	93%	93%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Muse rank #1 in App Store (iPhone) on October 1st 2026 manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Jacob Kalinovskiy 10x value at Recall.ai? manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 2: Will the Green Bay Packers beat the New York Jets by 4 or more points? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
will my friend saúl come out of the closet by 2026? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 2: Will the Kansas City Chiefs beat Indianapolis by 7 or more points? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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