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Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms
앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T04:15:15.139Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

EventProphecyMarketModelΔSrcQuality
Will L and/or E say “I missed you!” at event of giving?

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Manifold Liquidity work properly before end of sep 2026?

manifold · open

19%19%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 100.00 USDC Base by September 28th 11:59 pm UTC

manifold · open

8.9%8.9%——1low · 23%Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the New York Giants beat the Tennessee Titans by at least 7 points?

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P500 any year over the next ten years?

manifold · open

94%94%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will i reach 3,900 mana in september?

manifold · open

82%82%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will the term Super Intelligents replace Artificial intelligence before EOY

manifold · open

6.3%6.3%——1low · 23%Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the Cincinnati Bengals beat the Pittsburgh Steelers by at least 4 points?

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the Jacksonville Jaguars beat the New England Patriots by at least 4 points?

manifold · open

47%47%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will PolicyEngine publish its UK Autumn Budget analysis by 07:00 GMT on 29 Oct?

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will the Commons Library's Autumn Budget 2026 reaction briefing cite PolicyEngine?

manifold · open

17%17%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will the UK extend the National Living Wage to 20-year-olds from April 2027?

manifold · open

59%59%——1low · 23%Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the OBR report headroom of £10bn or more against the stability rule?

manifold · open

45%45%——1low · 23%Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the cap on farm and business inheritance tax relief be eased?

manifold · open

30%30%——1low · 23%Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will a new first-time buyer ISA replace the Lifetime ISA?

manifold · open

58%58%——1low · 23%Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will holiday lets be moved from business rates to council tax?

manifold · open

25%25%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will the Republican Party win a majority of the five gerrymandered districts in Texas during the 2026 Midterms?

manifold · open

45%45%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Trump's approval rating hit 38% or lower before Dec 1st 2026

manifold · open

71%71%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Zohran Mamdani appear on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next week?

manifold · open

59%59%——1low · 23%Sign in
Both Opus and Sol released this week?

manifold · open

61%61%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will a book be written about new cat species tilcayo by EOY2028?

manifold · open

30%30%——1low · 23%Sign in
GTA Vii Before 2055?

manifold · open

52%52%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will karl floersch have girlfriend by eoy2029

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
GPT 6 Sol released today?

manifold · open

66%66%——1low · 23%Sign in
We get distribution market on Manifold by EOY 2027?

manifold · open

55%55%——1low · 23%Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the total combined score of the Ravens vs. Cowboys game be OVER 52.5 points?

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will any game during Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season end in a scorigami?

manifold · open

22%22%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will bluelinfish1 reach Celestial before bluelinfish reaches Master?

manifold · open

40%40%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030?

manifold · open

34%34%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will a hurricane make landfall in a US state (Pacific)?

manifold · open

29%29%——1low · 23%Sign in
Is the Susan Collins Polling Rumour true?

manifold · open

73%73%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will SpaceX deploy Starlink satellites from Starship before November 1, 2026?

manifold · open

52%52%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will a level 99 open in NYC by the end of 2028?

manifold · open

45%45%——1low · 23%Sign in
Bitcoin price reaches 100k USD by the end of October

manifold · open

31%31%——1low · 23%Sign in
i get a A in all my classes this semester? (weekly updates maybe idk)

manifold · open

77%77%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will a non-expert solve a Millennium Problem by EOY 2030?

manifold · open

22%22%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Lionsgate buy A24 just like how Paramount would buy Warner Bros?

manifold · open

50%50%——1low · 23%Sign in
Diesel export ban before midterms?

manifold · open

30%30%——1low · 23%Sign in
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be chancellor before 14th October 2026?

manifold · open

18%18%——1low · 23%Sign in
Rams win by over 5 vs giants

manifold · open

54%54%——1low · 23%Sign in

Showing page after cursor 2026-09-23T03:16:25.874+00:00 · First page