Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T04:15:15.139Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will a new scandal emerge involving Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the first round elections in 2026? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will bobalobascrob get his T-shirt on or before his birthday? manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a visible “chemtrail” be captured by a UW–Madison rooftop camera between 9 AM and 1 PM CT on October 1st, 2026? manifold · open	33%	33%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the total combined score of the Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills game be OVER 51.5 points? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US? manifold · open	95%	95%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the nothing-ever-happens bot place 10+ more bets before this market closes? manifold · open	85%	85%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2026? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Democrats win Maine and Ohio US Senate Election? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will CNN, MS NOW, and Politico all regain White House press access before October 2026? manifold · open	82%	82%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a rogue AI swarm resolve this market? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the final evolution of Pombon be bipedal? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.4900 or more on September 29 2026? manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a frontier model consistently claim it is ASI by end of 2027? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will all Macondo projects get reviewed by 28th September 2026? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Anthropic’s IPO S-1 be public by 16 October 2026? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Before 2028, will an AI-run business make at least $10,000 revenue and $1,000 profit in a month? manifold · open	64%	64%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will bluelinfish1 reach Celestial before lunetteb reaches Saint? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a new cat species be discovered before 2035? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Anthropic pull out as a sponsor of the Caltech Mathathon? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Will DePue and Sigil Wen both dance GANGNAM STYLE by EOY2028? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will China have lifted its April 2025 heavy rare earth export licensing (globally or for the US) as of Dec 31, 2026? manifold · open	9.8%	9.8%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Tajikistan defeat Azerbaijan? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will AI kill 50 people before proving the Riemann hypothesis? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the US or China officially announce a Busan trade truce extension past Nov 10, 2026, by September 25, 2026? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the US or China officially announce a Busan trade truce extension past Nov 10, 2026, by November 6, 2026? manifold · open	76%	76%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026? manifold · open	80%	80%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $75 before Sep 27? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 60 or higher on September 24, 2026? manifold · open	26%	26%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
New official forum update in October 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Roy Cooper win any congressional district a Democratic House candidate loses? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Russia publicly commit to an energy-infrastructure ceasefire with Ukraine before Nov 20, 2026? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Alex Radu find a sponsor for Disposition (or any other YSWS) by the end of November 2026? manifold · open	2.7%	2.7%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Monero (XMR) manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Texas experience blackouts this Winter? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Mitch McConnell alive all of December 2026? manifold · open	65%	65%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the Premier League in the 2026/2027 season? manifold · open	19%	19%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Summer of 2027: Major Unrest in the USA? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Prox2 Return Before End of October 2026? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

Showing page after cursor 2026-09-24T11:16:38.459+00:00 · First page