Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-10T23:15:15.089Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will Worst Boyfriend Ever be convicted of a felony before 2030? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
OpenAI Releases New Batch of Mathematics Results before November? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any game during Week 5 of the 2026 NFL Season end in a scorigami? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Ethereum staking deposit contract hold 92.75M ETH or more on October 31, 2026? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be more than 1,000 plague deaths (of any strain) globally before 2028? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPX reach its all-time intraday high again this week (by October 9, 2026)? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPX reach its all-time intraday high again by the end of October 2026? manifold · open	72%	72%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPX reach its all-time intraday high again by the end of 2026? manifold · open	82%	82%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will New POLITICS markets be generated by market close? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I be able to create a market on MNX by EOY? manifold · open	7.9%	7.9%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points? manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Donald Trump go to Maine before election day? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a Blood Meridian movie release before Fourth of July 2028? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will World War 3 occur in 22nd Century? manifold · open	17%	17%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime in the 22nd century? manifold · open	13%	13%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime in the 21st century? manifold · open	13%	13%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 5: Will the total combined score in the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts game be OVER 45.5 points? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
2026 Split-Ticket SHAVE over D+7.5? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I become fat by EOY 2028 manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SpaceXAI rename itself to SpaceXSI (or another "SI" name) by end of 2026? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Jackie Chan do a guest appearance on the Corridor Crew channel by the end of 2031? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will my NeurIPS paper be at the venue I put as my 1st choice? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will my favorite candidate be elected to the US Senate in 2026? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Susan Collins (Maine) Outperform outperform Republicans by 10%? manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days manifold · open	11%	11%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I get the openai pro subscription this week manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Odell Beckham Jr. (OBJ) plays for another NFL team this season? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $100 before Oct 8 UTC-12? manifold · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Manifold gets new name in 2027? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
OpenAI renamed to OpenSI by EOY? manifold · open	2.6%	2.6%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a visible “chemtrail” be captured by a UW–Madison rooftop camera between 9 AM and 1 PM CT on October 8th, 2026? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Munich host the Olympics in 2036, 2040, or 2044? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Russia invade Britain before 2030? manifold · open	5.3%	5.3%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will silver outperform gold over the next week? manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Russia invade Greece in 2027? manifold · open	7.0%	7.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Mike Rogers be seen with Donald Trump before election day? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Susan Collins be seen with Donald Trump before election day? manifold · open	17%	17%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will John Sununu be seen with Donald Trump before election day? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Peggy Flanagan win by 250,000 votes or more? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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