Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T15:19:34.272Z · ok=true · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will AMD hit $2 trillion market cap before 2030? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Michael Kovach voice act a Battle for Dream Island character by EOY 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 200.00 USDC Base by September 28th 11:59 pm UTC manifold · open	6.5%	6.5%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Brentford beat Aston Villa? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will my passport be okay? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPCX close at $150.00 or higher on Friday, October 23, 2026? (Closes early) manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Wikipedia get blocked in Russia by the end of 2026 manifold · open	16%	16%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the movie "The Legend of Zelda" (2027) gross more than a billion dollars at the worldwide box office? manifold · open	29%	29%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in November 2026? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will there be OVER 2.5 total goals in Arsenal vs. Leeds? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Atlanta Falcons by 6 or more points? manifold · open	54%	54%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Japan vs India T20 cricket match manifold · open	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will The Odyssey receive the most Oscar nominations? manifold · open	72%	72%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the US and China announce an AI incident notification mechanism at the Trump–Xi summit? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.4500 or more on September 24 2026? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.3500 or more on September 28 2026? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Bitcoin $87,500 in September 2026? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Magic the Gathering movie make over 350 million at the global box office? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 2: Will the Los Angeles Rams beat the New York Giants by 7 or more points? manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031? manifold · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will public superforecaster AIs give great advice? manifold · open	46%	46%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Brian Schatz senate majority leader after 2026 elections? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Trump, any of his cabinet, or any official government account mention aella by name in a tweet by January 1 2028? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Ronaldo score in the next match manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will @lolipop start the call at 7:00 pm tonight or nah? manifold · open	77%	77%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will xAI/Grok be on the Felonybench scoreboard by end of 2026? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2400? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the world become a global far-right dictatorship regime before 2400? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will @manifoldpolitics create 5 or more markets in October 2026 manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
How will I rate Vilenkin 1994? (+free lottery) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
MLB: Tigers vs Nationals manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
MLB: Giants vs Twins manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
MLB: Orioles vs Blue Jays manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democrat Chris Pappas win New Hampshire Senate election by 10% or more? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democrat Peggy Flanagan win Minnesota Senate election by 10% or more? manifold · open	33%	33%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the 2027 presidential French elections be decided at the first round? manifold · open	11%	11%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Talarico underperform 2024 Kamala in any county? manifold · open	42%	42%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Manchester City beat Liverpool? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will $500 Obamacare rebate checks start going out by Oct. 31 2026? (ACA) manifold · open	42%	42%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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