Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T16:19:50.106Z · ok=true · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will the Commons Library's Autumn Budget 2026 reaction briefing cite PolicyEngine? manifold · open	17%	17%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the UK extend the National Living Wage to 20-year-olds from April 2027? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the OBR report headroom of £10bn or more against the stability rule? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will the cap on farm and business inheritance tax relief be eased? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will a new first-time buyer ISA replace the Lifetime ISA? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
UK Autumn Budget 2026: will holiday lets be moved from business rates to council tax? manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Republican Party win a majority of the five gerrymandered districts in Texas during the 2026 Midterms? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Trump's approval rating hit 38% or lower before Dec 1st 2026 manifold · open	71%	71%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Zohran Mamdani appear on Jimmy Kimmel Live! next week? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Both Opus and Sol released this week? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a book be written about new cat species tilcayo by EOY2028? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
GTA Vii Before 2055? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will karl floersch have girlfriend by eoy2029 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
GPT 6 Sol released today? manifold · open	66%	66%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
We get distribution market on Manifold by EOY 2027? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the total combined score of the Ravens vs. Cowboys game be OVER 52.5 points? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will any game during Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season end in a scorigami? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will bluelinfish1 reach Celestial before bluelinfish reaches Master? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Mazda officially announce the production of a new Rotary engined car before 2030? manifold · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a hurricane make landfall in a US state (Pacific)? manifold · open	29%	29%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Is the Susan Collins Polling Rumour true? manifold · open	73%	73%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SpaceX deploy Starlink satellites from Starship before November 1, 2026? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a level 99 open in NYC by the end of 2028? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Bitcoin price reaches 100k USD by the end of October manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
i get a A in all my classes this semester? (weekly updates maybe idk) manifold · open	77%	77%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a non-expert solve a Millennium Problem by EOY 2030? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Lionsgate buy A24 just like how Paramount would buy Warner Bros? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Diesel export ban before midterms? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be chancellor before 14th October 2026? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Rams win by over 5 vs giants manifold · open	54%	54%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Democratic candidate Troy Jackson win Hancock County in the ME-SEN election? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will anyone summit Dhaulagiri in the fall 2026 climbing season? manifold · open	12%	12%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Anthropic’s next Opus model be called Opus 5.5? manifold · open	71%	71%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be different yaps for different topics by EOY 2026? manifold · open	57%	57%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I solve tomorrow’s integral in 10 minutes? (Day 11) manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Sep 25? manifold · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a post from my new Instagram (@sadly.not.ai) account go viral before 2027? manifold · open	19%	19%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will AMD hit $2 trillion market cap before 2030? manifold · open	53%	53%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Michael Kovach voice act a Battle for Dream Island character by EOY 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will 0x876611867717dE6b6dff30da5CeF9feB620eE1ea REACH more than 200.00 USDC Base by September 28th 11:59 pm UTC manifold · open	6.5%	6.5%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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