Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T12:15:14.745Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will AI welfare have a "2026 AI safety moment" by mid 2028? manifold · open	21%	21%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Before 2040 will most of the historical anthropic slack be made public manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Real Madrid win a trophy in the 2026/2027 Season? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will US ethanol fuel collapse? manifold · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be an AI treaty between US and China by end of 2032? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Election? manifold · open	80%	80%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day? manifold · open	22%	22%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I have 1000 Instagram followers on December 31, 2026? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Championship? manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 1000 goals before 2027? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Lionel Messi score 950 goals before 2027? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a commercially available LLM-based self-driving system by EoY 2030? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Kylian Mbappe score a hattrick in this international window for France? manifold · open	19%	19%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will I find a wife by the end of 2027? manifold · open	18%	18%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will we have BasedBeffJezos personalized goatse by EOY2029? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will India have a Michelin Star restaurant by the end of 2028? manifold · open	80%	80%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will norway beat denmark? manifold · open	86%	86%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Lego release a record breaking Largest Set (by number of pieces) before EOY 2027? manifold · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Opus 5.5 get nerfed within a week of launch? manifold · open	21%	21%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Debrecen, Hungary officially become subtropical (Cfa) by 2031? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will time-dependant dark energy be proved by EOY 2030 ? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will AI revenues be greater than $500 billion by end of 2027? manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the White House name a new Press Secretary by November 15, 2026? manifold · open	71%	71%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Ulf Kristersson resign as leader of the Moderate Party by EOY 2026? manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Indian Wildlife & Golden Triangle Tour \| Tiger Sight India manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
US Average Gas Price Is $4.4800 or more on September 28 2026? manifold · open	73%	73%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Russia attack Europe with drones before October 31? manifold · open	33%	33%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Blue Wave in 2026? manifold · open	87%	87%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Should I strongly expect the world to become a global far-right dictatorship global regime before 2100? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Deviantart exist in 2050? manifold · open	43%	43%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Apple become defunct before 2100? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Roger Waters to play a live concert in 2027 ? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a new scandal emerge involving Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of the first round elections in 2026? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will bobalobascrob get his T-shirt on or before his birthday? manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a visible “chemtrail” be captured by a UW–Madison rooftop camera between 9 AM and 1 PM CT on October 1st, 2026? manifold · open	33%	33%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
NFL Week 3: Will the total combined score of the Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills game be OVER 51.5 points? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Xi Jinping safely return to China after visiting the US? manifold · open	95%	95%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the nothing-ever-happens bot place 10+ more bets before this market closes? manifold · open	85%	85%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2026? manifold · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

Showing page after cursor 2026-09-25T17:16:28.361+00:00 · First page