Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T15:15:14.555Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny kalshi manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will Washington Initiative IL26-638 (girls' sports eligibility by sex) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Washington Initiative IP26-645 (income tax repeal and prohibition) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Wisconsin Question 1 (limit on partial veto to raise taxes/fees) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	61%	61%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Wisconsin Question 2 (no emergency closures of places of worship) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	69%	69%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Wisconsin Question 3 (ban on government preferential treatment) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	65%	65%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Egor Pleshivtsev wins kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Yua Taka wins kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul wins kalshi · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Taiyo Yamanaka wins kalshi · open	80%	80%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Nino Ehrenschneider wins kalshi · open	78%	78%	—	—	1	medium · 55%	Sign in
Qian Sun wins kalshi · open	40%	40%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Jake Ferguson: 3+ touchdowns kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
CeeDee Lamb: 3+ touchdowns kalshi · open	8.5%	8.5%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
George Pickens: 3+ touchdowns kalshi · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	medium · 55%	Sign in
Javonte Williams: 3+ touchdowns kalshi · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Bucky Irving: 3+ touchdowns kalshi · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	medium · 55%	Sign in
Will the platinum close price be above 1705.49 USD/ounce on October 06, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will the platinum close price be above 1704.99 USD/ounce on October 06, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will the platinum close price be above 1705.49 USD/ounce on October 06, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will the platinum close price be above 1704.99 USD/ounce on October 06, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Washington Initiative IL26-001 (restoring 2024 parents' rights law) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will it rain in Pittsburgh on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will it rain in Providence on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will it rain in San Antonio on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will it rain in Seattle on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	6.5%	6.5%	—	—	1	medium · 55%	Sign in
Will it rain in San Francisco on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will it rain in Springfield on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will it rain in Trenton on Oct 7, 2026? kalshi · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Kim Taehyun wins kalshi · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Robinot Alexandre wins kalshi · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will the palladium close price be above 1161.99 USD/ounce on October 06, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins kalshi · open	89%	89%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Nicolas Villalon Valdes wins kalshi · open	8.0%	8.0%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will the palladium close price be above 1161.99 USD/ounce on October 06, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	0.0%	0.0%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will the WTI Oil close price be above 87.69 USD/barrel on October 06, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will the WTI Oil close price be above 87.69 USD/barrel on October 06, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET? kalshi · open	0.0%	0.0%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will Virginia Question 1 (right to reproductive freedom) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	97%	97%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Virginia Question 2 (removing same-sex marriage ban) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	94%	94%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Virginia Question 3 (voting rights restoration after prison) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	95%	95%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Vermont Proposal 3 (right to collectively bargain) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election? manifold · open	90%	90%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in

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