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앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T11:15:14.959Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny kalshi manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028? manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 20+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 25+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 30+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 40+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 50+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Michael Penix Jr.: 1+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Michael Penix Jr.: 2+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Michael Penix Jr.: 3+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	49%	49%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Michael Penix Jr.: 4+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 1+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 2+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 3+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 4+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	8.0%	8.0%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Anubis Gaming wins kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
The Ruddy Sack wins kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will the Dashboard release day Senate predictions be correct? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will GTA 6 be decompiled within a month of release manifold · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a second fully evolved mono-Flying type Pokemon released by the end of 2029? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2027? manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will 2014 UZ224 be numbered and named by EOY 2040 manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will OpenAI retract any of its AI-Driven Mathematical Results before 2027? manifold · open	21%	21%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPX reach 8,000 this week (by October 9, 2026)? manifold · open	14%	14%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will SPX reach 8,000 by the end of October 2026? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Michael Penix Jr.: 325+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Michael Penix Jr.: 350+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 125+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 150+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 175+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 200+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 225+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 250+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 275+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Tyler Huntley: 300+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Brooklyn wins by over 29.5 points kalshi · open	74%	74%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Brooklyn wins by over 31.5 points kalshi · open	99%	99%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
New York R wins 3rd Period by over 2.5 goals kalshi · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	medium · 55%	Sign in
Brooklyn wins by over 33.5 points kalshi · open	99%	99%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Brooklyn wins by over 35.5 points kalshi · open	99%	99%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in

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