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앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-10T20:17:56.662Z · ok=true · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny kalshi manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict? manifold · open	34%	34%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Israel/Palestine conflict? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Coventry City by 2 or more goals OR will there be a red card? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will integer multiplication be proved possible in O(n) time by June 30, 2027? manifold · open	6.7%	6.7%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Manchester United beat Leeds United? manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will @mira make a comeback?... manifold · open	56%	56%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a global internet outage affect at least 25% of internet users for 24 consecutive hours before 2030? manifold · open	5.0%	5.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Liverpool beat Brentford? manifold · open	42%	42%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will a G20 country legally recognize AI welfare protections or sentience-based status before 2036? manifold · open	60%	60%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
EPL: Will Fulham vs. Hull total OVER 2.5 goals? manifold · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will REK (Robot Era Kombat) hold another publicly viewable humanoid robot fighting event before 2028? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2027? manifold · open	4.2%	4.2%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will anyone pitch me a market my own order checks let me buy? [Convince the Machine #22] manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
ElevenLabs Acquired before 2028 manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Axel return to Channing bed before GTA 6 releases manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will there be a December Usaco contest manifold · open	31%	31%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Nidal Hasans execution be livestreamed in 2026? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 3rd round 3-ball matchup? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Keith Mitchell win the 3rd round 3-ball matchup? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Max Homa win the 3rd round 3-ball matchup? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Koshin Nagasaki win the 3rd round 3-ball matchup? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Steven Fisk win the 3rd round 3-ball matchup? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Tom Hoge win the 3rd round 3-ball matchup? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Nazareth wins by more than 3.5 goals? kalshi · open	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Manchester Utd (Antonio) wins kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Nottingham Forest (Sheerpy) wins kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Game ends in a tie kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Newcastle Utd (Luis) wins kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Nottingham Forest (Sheerpy) wins kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Game ends in a tie kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will Sean Spicer be the next White House Press Secretary of United States? kalshi · open	2.5%	2.5%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Full Game: Over 246.5 points scored kalshi · open	10%	10%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will democracy survive in second Trump administration? manifold · open	85%	85%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Will Bitcoin's AUD price hit a new all-time high before the end of 2026? manifold · open	10%	10%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Wurzburg wins by more than 2.5 goals? kalshi · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? kalshi · open	95%	95%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? kalshi · open	81%	81%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? kalshi · open	58%	58%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? kalshi · open	36%	36%	—	—	1	high · 55%	Sign in

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