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Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.
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Probability ingest: 2026-10-12T01:15:14.621Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

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EventProphecyMarketModelΔSrcQuality
Who will win the Young Rider Classification / White Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?

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Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks?

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Global Average Temperature August 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

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Will someone in "dama iipeikou" newly solve Project Euler 696 before the end of this year?

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Gold is 31 July above 4150$ or no

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Will Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?

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Will a model saturate AISI's "The Last Ones" before October 2026?

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Will Situational Awareness LP raise fresh capital after its July 2026 unwind?

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Will "…but have the weights left the server?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Will Iran strike US military base at least once in August?

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Will YonKaGor make a cover of "Isn't She Lovely" by EOY 2028?

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BH999 Bangladesh | Best Online Betting & Casino Platform

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Global Average Temperature August 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)

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Will there be a red alert somewhere in Israel on July 30th?

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BTC above or below $63k at 18:00 UTC on 31 July?

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What is your favorite phase of the moon? 🌑🌒🌓🌔🌕🌖🌗🌘🌑

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Will there be at least two MLB games in which a single player hits 3 HR between July 30 and August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)?

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Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE)

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Will someone prove Empty in bend2 within 48 hours of its launch?

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By when will we launch an interstellar vehicle?

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Will https://x.com/ptolemyofsinope interact with @luoluo_ai (Christina Lee) by EOY2029?

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Will "RL & search is a terrifying way to build AGI ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Mostbet Bangladesh - Leading Sports Betting & Live Casino Site

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Which of these will I do during the 2027 USA TST cycle?

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What year will a horror movie become the highest-grossing horror film of all time (unadjusted worldwide gross)?

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Will a frontier model exfiltrate its own weights by EoY 2028?

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Will I delete my Manifold account by October? (Again)

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Will Seb Krier's Antichrist Meme tweet still be up on August 1st?

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How many problems will I write on the 2027 ELMO?

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Will "The High-Control Dynamics at MAPLE" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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What tier will the next public Claude model be?

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What will I achieve in the upcoming math competition season?

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What will be the German Youth Word of the Year 2026? (67? Du bist gut genug? Ragebait? ...)

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Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1?

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Will communists arrest me for speech violations within the next year?

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Steph Curry traded before new season starts?

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What rank will I get in 2026 PuMAC Algebra?

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Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?

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How many count of indictment will Jared Leto face 2026?

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Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027?

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