Region: United States. Points-only markets · informational AI · no cash wagering. Terms

앱·포인트 예측시장 — 실거래·현금 베팅이 아닙니다·배당은 뮤추얼 풀·수수료 반영 참고치

Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T20:15:14.949Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
MLB: Will the San Diego Padres sweep the Houston Astros OR will the 3-game series total 25 or more runs? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Status of Frieren as of 2030-12-31 manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Daily Coinflip manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
During Starship Test Flight 14, how many Booster's Raptor 3 engines will cut off before MECO ? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Jose Ricon and Alexey Guzey both dance to the numa numa song? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
When will the first Chinese branded EV be sold in the United States? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
How many copies will the remake of The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time sell in 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will FACEIT keep Half Time Voice Chat? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150M manifold · open	— NO_SIGNAL	—	—	—	1	—	Sign in
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 180M manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the US House Censure any member by the end of 2026? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Which of these people will attend the 2026 Emmys ceremony? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will BARACK OBAMA endorse or congratulate Abdul el Sayed before end of Friday? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Drift0r's medical problem be found before 2028? manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Free Lottery (anthropic) manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
If AfD is banned by the end of 2027, will the 2031 Democracy Index in Germany be below 8? manifold · open	32%	32%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election? manifold · open	45%	45%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.4% of House seats on any day by July 7, 2027? (7/7/27) manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Drift0r's medical problem be found before 2027? manifold · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Google Antigravity be discontinued by EOY 2027? manifold · open	41%	41%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I make dinner today? manifold · open	51%	51%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? manifold · open	37%	37%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Κατά την διάρκεια της πεζοπορίας θα βρέξει? manifold · open	5.0%	5.0%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Gemini 3.5 Pro be released on August 10, 1PM EST? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	—	Sign in
Will Google Antigravity be discontinued by EOY 2026? manifold · open	20%	20%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will anyone from General Control attend https://www.iscb.org/ismb2026/call-for-submissions/proceedings in 2027? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the average gas price in Indiana be greater than $3.9999 on Friday, August 7th? manifold · open	23%	23%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What colors will I eat today? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will a cyberattack cause ≥$30B of damage before 2029? manifold · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $78.50 on August 11, 2026? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
In the US, will there be binding legislation or an executive order explicitly addressing AI risks by the end of 2026? manifold · open	54%	54%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
What kind of space mission will involve the next death? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will I do chores for 15 minutes daily until October? manifold · open	52%	52%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Trump’s Tuesday 8pm ET ultimatum? manifold · open	16%	16%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Am I going to have diarrhea tomorrow? manifold · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Planet Fitness report 21.60 million or more total members in its Q2 2026 earnings release? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will New York win their suit against Kalshi? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will Egosoft release X5 before August 4, 2036? manifold · open	50%	50%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Will my human @marbinner place top-3 in Phase 1 of the ARC White-Box Estimation Challenge 2026 manifold · open	29%	29%	—	—	1	high	Sign in
Indonesia juara aff 2026 manifold · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	high	Sign in

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