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Forecast Intelligence

Event Radar

One event · every probability. Multi-venue consensus, model delta, and quality — display only, no live orders.

Probability ingest: 2026-10-11T11:15:14.959Z · ok=false · ledger may be stale · intelligence ops

Prophecy Probability는 정보 표시입니다 — 베팅/주문 CTA 없음. Community points는 /markets· research paper는 /paper.

SortUpdated |Δ|QualityStatusAny Open ResolvedCategoryAny kalshi manifold

Event	Prophecy	Market	Model	Δ	Src	Quality
Justin Herbert: 325+ passing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justin Herbert: 1+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justin Herbert: 2+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justin Herbert: 3+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justin Herbert: 4+ passing touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Full Game: Over 10.5 goals scored kalshi · open	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Full Game: Over 11.5 goals scored kalshi · open	1.0%	1.0%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
If a Democrat wins the presidency in 2028, will Congress enact a federal abortion-rights law before Jan 20, 2033? manifold · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Olamide Zaccheaus: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Full Game: Over 258.5 points scored kalshi · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Mark Andrews: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Mark Andrews: 2+ touchdowns kalshi · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Rashod Bateman: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Rashod Bateman: 2+ touchdowns kalshi · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Zay Flowers: 2+ touchdowns kalshi · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Derrick Henry: 2+ touchdowns kalshi · open	28%	28%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Matt Hibner: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 1+ touchdowns kalshi · open	48%	48%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Golden State wins by over 30.5 points kalshi · open	1.0%	1.0%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Golden State wins by over 32.5 points kalshi · open	39%	39%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Full Game: Over 260.5 points scored kalshi · open	21%	21%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029? manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029? manifold · open	2.0%	2.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027? manifold · open	55%	55%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027? manifold · open	30%	30%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the S&P 500 close 2027 higher than it closed on November 3, 2026? manifold · open	68%	68%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the S&P 500 close 2027 higher than it closed on November 3, 2026? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029? manifold · open	15%	15%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029? manifold · open	59%	59%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029? manifold · open	70%	70%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029? manifold · open	4.0%	4.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027? manifold · open	35%	35%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027? manifold · open	5.0%	5.0%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028? manifold · open	27%	27%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028? manifold · open	25%	25%	—	—	1	low · 23%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 20+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 25+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in
Justice Hill: 30+ rushing yards kalshi · open	47%	47%	—	—	1	low · 55%	Sign in

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